Sweden
0 - 2
Portugal

Svensson (14'), Andersson (90')
Svensson (44')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Ronaldo (45+1', 72')
Guerreiro (57'), Felix (86')

Preview

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's UEFA Nations League clash between Sweden and Portugal, including team news and predicted lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portugal win with a probability of 37.33%. A win for Sweden had a probability of 35.96% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portugal win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.18%) and 0-2 (6.5%). The likeliest Sweden win was 1-0 (9.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Portugal would win this match.

Result
Sweden	Draw	Portugal
35.96%	26.7%	37.33%

Both teams to score 51.87%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.83%

53.16%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.26%

74.73%

Sweden Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.61%

28.38%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.87%

64.13%

Portugal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.42%

27.57%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.9%

63.1%

Score Analysis

Sweden 35.96%

Portugal 37.33%

Draw 26.7%

Sweden	Draw	Portugal
1-0 @ 9.86% 2-1 @ 8% 2-0 @ 6.21% 3-1 @ 3.36% 3-0 @ 2.61% 3-2 @ 2.16% 4-1 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.72% Total : 35.96%	1-1 @ 12.69% 0-0 @ 7.83% 2-2 @ 5.15% 3-3 @ 0.93% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.7%	0-1 @ 10.08% 1-2 @ 8.18% 0-2 @ 6.5% 1-3 @ 3.51% 0-3 @ 2.79% 2-3 @ 2.21% 1-4 @ 1.13% Other @ 2.93% Total : 37.33%