Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portugal win with a probability of 37.33%. A win for Sweden had a probability of 35.96% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portugal win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.18%) and 0-2 (6.5%). The likeliest Sweden win was 1-0 (9.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Portugal would win this match.
Result | ||
Sweden | Draw | Portugal |
35.96% | 26.7% | 37.33% |
Both teams to score 51.87% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.83% | 53.16% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.26% | 74.73% |
Sweden Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.61% | 28.38% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.87% | 64.13% |
Portugal Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.42% | 27.57% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.9% | 63.1% |
Score Analysis |
Sweden | Draw | Portugal |
1-0 @ 9.86% 2-1 @ 8% 2-0 @ 6.21% 3-1 @ 3.36% 3-0 @ 2.61% 3-2 @ 2.16% 4-1 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.72% Total : 35.96% | 1-1 @ 12.69% 0-0 @ 7.83% 2-2 @ 5.15% 3-3 @ 0.93% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.7% | 0-1 @ 10.08% 1-2 @ 8.18% 0-2 @ 6.5% 1-3 @ 3.51% 0-3 @ 2.79% 2-3 @ 2.21% 1-4 @ 1.13% Other @ 2.93% Total : 37.33% |
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