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UN
Nations League | League A
Sep 3, 2020 at 7.45pm UK
Arena L'viv
SN

Ukraine
2 - 1
Switzerland

Yarmolenko (14'), Zinchenko (68')
Tymchyk (86')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Seferovic (41')
Elvedi (59'), Steffen (84')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Switzerland win with a probability of 37.81%. A win for Ukraine had a probability of 36.47% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Switzerland win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.37%) and 0-2 (6.23%). The likeliest Ukraine win was 1-0 (8.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.

Result
UkraineDrawSwitzerland
36.47%25.71%37.81%
Both teams to score 55.22%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.09%48.91%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.99%71%
Ukraine Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.94%26.06%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.89%61.11%
Switzerland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.68%25.32%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.91%60.09%
Score Analysis
    Ukraine 36.47%
    Switzerland 37.81%
    Draw 25.71%
UkraineDrawSwitzerland
1-0 @ 8.87%
2-1 @ 8.19%
2-0 @ 5.97%
3-1 @ 3.67%
3-0 @ 2.67%
3-2 @ 2.52%
4-1 @ 1.24%
Other @ 3.34%
Total : 36.47%
1-1 @ 12.18%
0-0 @ 6.6%
2-2 @ 5.63%
3-3 @ 1.16%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.71%
0-1 @ 9.06%
1-2 @ 8.37%
0-2 @ 6.23%
1-3 @ 3.83%
0-3 @ 2.85%
2-3 @ 2.58%
1-4 @ 1.32%
0-4 @ 0.98%
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 37.81%


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