SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cliftonville win with a probability of 59.7%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Carrick Rangers had a probability of 17.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cliftonville win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.1%) and 2-1 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.72%), while for a Carrick Rangers win it was 0-1 (5.86%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cliftonville would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Cliftonville | Draw | Carrick Rangers |
59.7% ( -0.71) | 22.55% ( 0.32) | 17.75% ( 0.4) |
| Both teams to score 49.22% ( -0.21) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.93% ( -0.68) | 49.07% ( 0.68) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.85% ( -0.62) | 71.15% ( 0.62) |
| Cliftonville Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.94% ( -0.47) | 16.06% ( 0.47) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 54.57% ( -0.87) | 45.43% ( 0.87) |
| Carrick Rangers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.64% ( 0.08) | 41.36% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 22.12% ( 0.07) | 77.88% ( -0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cliftonville | Draw | Carrick Rangers |
| 1-0 @ 12.14% ( 0.14) 2-0 @ 11.1% ( -0.05)2-1 @ 9.81% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 6.77% ( -0.14)3-1 @ 5.98% ( -0.11)4-0 @ 3.1% ( -0.12)4-1 @ 2.73% ( -0.1)3-2 @ 2.64% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 1.21% ( -0.04)5-0 @ 1.13% ( -0.06)5-1 @ 1% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.07% Total : 59.68% | 1-1 @ 10.72% ( 0.15) 0-0 @ 6.64% ( 0.18)2-2 @ 4.33% ( -0)Other @ 0.86% Total : 22.55% | 0-1 @ 5.86% ( 0.17) 1-2 @ 4.73% ( 0.08)0-2 @ 2.59% ( 0.08)1-3 @ 1.39% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.27% ( 0)Other @ 1.9% Total : 17.75% |
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