SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cliftonville win with a probability of 50.91%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Carrick Rangers had a probability of 23.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cliftonville win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.52%) and 2-1 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.99%), while for a Carrick Rangers win it was 0-1 (7.61%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cliftonville would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Cliftonville | Draw | Carrick Rangers |
50.91% ( -0.11) | 25.25% ( 0.09) | 23.83% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 49.89% ( -0.24) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.33% ( -0.33) | 52.67% ( 0.33) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.68% ( -0.28) | 74.31% ( 0.28) |
| Cliftonville Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.3% ( -0.18) | 20.7% ( 0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.7% ( -0.28) | 53.3% ( 0.28) |
| Carrick Rangers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.91% ( -0.16) | 37.08% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.13% ( -0.16) | 73.87% ( 0.16) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cliftonville | Draw | Carrick Rangers |
| 1-0 @ 12.09% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 9.52% ( 0.02)2-1 @ 9.45% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 5% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 4.96% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 2.46% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 1.97% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.95% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 0.97% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.55% Total : 50.91% | 1-1 @ 11.99% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 7.68% ( 0.1)2-2 @ 4.69% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.9% Total : 25.25% | 0-1 @ 7.61% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 5.95% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 3.78% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 1.97% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.55% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.25% Other @ 1.73% Total : 23.83% |
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