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NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 4
Nov 7, 2020 at 3pm UK
Mourneview Park

Glenavon
4 - 4
Coleraine

McCloskey (24'), Purkis (31'), O'Connor (69'), Fitzpatrick (78')
FT(HT: 2-3)
Nixon (2'), Doherty (18', 41', 58')
McConaghie (14')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Glenavon and Coleraine.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coleraine win with a probability of 48.77%. A win for Glenavon had a probability of 28.13% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Coleraine win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.02%) and 0-2 (7.2%). The likeliest Glenavon win was 2-1 (6.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.53%). The actual scoreline of 4-4 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.

Result
GlenavonDrawColeraine
28.13%23.1%48.77%
Both teams to score 60.96%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.05%39.95%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.69%62.31%
Glenavon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.11%26.89%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.79%62.21%
Coleraine Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.38%16.62%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.55%46.45%
Score Analysis
    Glenavon 28.13%
    Coleraine 48.77%
    Draw 23.1%
GlenavonDrawColeraine
2-1 @ 6.92%
1-0 @ 5.87%
2-0 @ 3.86%
3-1 @ 3.03%
3-2 @ 2.72%
3-0 @ 1.69%
4-1 @ 0.99%
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 28.13%
1-1 @ 10.53%
2-2 @ 6.21%
0-0 @ 4.47%
3-3 @ 1.63%
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 23.1%
1-2 @ 9.45%
0-1 @ 8.02%
0-2 @ 7.2%
1-3 @ 5.65%
0-3 @ 4.31%
2-3 @ 3.71%
1-4 @ 2.54%
0-4 @ 1.93%
2-4 @ 1.67%
1-5 @ 0.91%
Other @ 3.39%
Total : 48.77%


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