Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coleraine win with a probability of 48.77%. A win for Glenavon had a probability of 28.13% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Coleraine win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.02%) and 0-2 (7.2%). The likeliest Glenavon win was 2-1 (6.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.53%). The actual scoreline of 4-4 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.