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NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 23
Mar 2, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Milltown

Warrenpoint
4 - 1
Dungannon

O'Sullivan (15' pen., 60'), Byrne (26'), Evans (49')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Gallagher (2')
Devlin (78')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Warrenpoint Town and Dungannon Swifts.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Warrenpoint Town win with a probability of 39.41%. A win for Dungannon Swifts had a probability of 35.03% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Warrenpoint Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.58%) and 2-0 (6.49%). The likeliest Dungannon Swifts win was 0-1 (8.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.1%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Warrenpoint Town would win this match.

Result
Warrenpoint TownDrawDungannon Swifts
39.41%25.56%35.03%
Both teams to score 55.59%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.63%48.37%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.49%70.51%
Warrenpoint Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.78%24.22%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.44%58.56%
Dungannon Swifts Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.35%26.65%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.11%61.89%
Score Analysis
    Warrenpoint Town 39.41%
    Dungannon Swifts 35.03%
    Draw 25.56%
Warrenpoint TownDrawDungannon Swifts
1-0 @ 9.15%
2-1 @ 8.58%
2-0 @ 6.49%
3-1 @ 4.06%
3-0 @ 3.07%
3-2 @ 2.68%
4-1 @ 1.44%
4-0 @ 1.09%
4-2 @ 0.95%
Other @ 1.9%
Total : 39.41%
1-1 @ 12.1%
0-0 @ 6.45%
2-2 @ 5.68%
3-3 @ 1.18%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.56%
0-1 @ 8.53%
1-2 @ 8%
0-2 @ 5.64%
1-3 @ 3.53%
2-3 @ 2.5%
0-3 @ 2.49%
1-4 @ 1.17%
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 35.03%

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