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NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 17
Feb 23, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Stangmore Park

Dungannon
1 - 2
Glenavon

Smyth (84')
McAleer (86')
FT(HT: 0-2)
McCloskey (19'), Fitzpatrick (24')
Singleton (86')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Dungannon Swifts and Glenavon.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Glenavon win with a probability of 49.05%. A win for Dungannon Swifts had a probability of 27.26% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Glenavon win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.98%) and 0-2 (7.75%). The likeliest Dungannon Swifts win was 2-1 (6.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Glenavon in this match.

Result
Dungannon SwiftsDrawGlenavon
27.26%23.69%49.05%
Both teams to score 58.19%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.71%43.29%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.32%65.68%
Dungannon Swifts Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.77%29.23%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.82%65.18%
Glenavon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.22%17.78%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.51%48.49%
Score Analysis
    Dungannon Swifts 27.26%
    Glenavon 49.05%
    Draw 23.69%
Dungannon SwiftsDrawGlenavon
2-1 @ 6.79%
1-0 @ 6.39%
2-0 @ 3.93%
3-1 @ 2.78%
3-2 @ 2.4%
3-0 @ 1.61%
Other @ 3.35%
Total : 27.26%
1-1 @ 11.04%
2-2 @ 5.86%
0-0 @ 5.2%
3-3 @ 1.38%
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 23.69%
1-2 @ 9.53%
0-1 @ 8.98%
0-2 @ 7.75%
1-3 @ 5.49%
0-3 @ 4.46%
2-3 @ 3.38%
1-4 @ 2.37%
0-4 @ 1.93%
2-4 @ 1.46%
Other @ 3.71%
Total : 49.05%

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