Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brazil Women win with a probability of 42.25%. A win for China PR Women had a probability of 34.91% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brazil Women win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.3%) and 0-2 (5.51%). The likeliest China PR Women win was 2-1 (7.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brazil Women would win this match.
