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Olympic Games Women's Football | Group Stage
Jul 21, 2021 at 11.30am UK
Sapporo Dome
CN

Japan Women
1 - 1
Canada Women

Iwabuchi (84')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Sinclair (6')
Labbe (53')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Japan Women win with a probability of 52.04%. A win for Canada Women had a probability of 25.83% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Japan Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.58%) and 2-0 (7.32%). The likeliest Canada Women win was 1-2 (6.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.

Result
Japan WomenDrawCanada Women
52.04%22.13%25.83%
Both teams to score 62.35%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.8%37.2%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.59%59.4%
Japan Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.51%14.49%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.52%42.47%
Canada Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.91%27.08%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.54%62.46%
Score Analysis
    Japan Women 52.04%
    Canada Women 25.83%
    Draw 22.13%
Japan WomenDrawCanada Women
2-1 @ 9.56%
1-0 @ 7.58%
2-0 @ 7.32%
3-1 @ 6.16%
3-0 @ 4.72%
3-2 @ 4.02%
4-1 @ 2.98%
4-0 @ 2.28%
4-2 @ 1.94%
5-1 @ 1.15%
Other @ 4.33%
Total : 52.04%
1-1 @ 9.9%
2-2 @ 6.25%
0-0 @ 3.92%
3-3 @ 1.75%
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 22.13%
1-2 @ 6.47%
0-1 @ 5.13%
0-2 @ 3.35%
1-3 @ 2.82%
2-3 @ 2.72%
0-3 @ 1.46%
1-4 @ 0.92%
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 25.83%

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