Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a USA Women win with a probability of 78.88%. A draw had a probability of 14.3% and a win for Canada Women had a probability of 6.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a USA Women win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.73%) and 1-0 (11.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.75%), while for a Canada Women win it was 0-1 (2.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that USA Women would win this match.
