Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sweden Women win with a probability of 55.36%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Australia Women had a probability of 20.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sweden Women win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.61%) and 2-1 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.52%), while for an Australia Women win it was 0-1 (6.91%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sweden Women would win this match.
