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Olympic Games Women's Football | Group Stage
Jul 21, 2021 at 9.30am UK
Ajinomoto Stadium
UN

Sweden Women
3 - 0
USA Women

Blackstenius (25', 55'), Hurtig (72')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a USA Women win with a probability of 47.7%. A win for Sweden Women had a probability of 29.16% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a USA Women win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.77%) and 0-2 (6.93%). The likeliest Sweden Women win was 2-1 (7.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.49%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.

Result
Sweden WomenDrawUSA Women
29.16%23.13%47.7%
Both teams to score 61.63%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.6%39.4%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.26%61.74%
Sweden Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.08%25.92%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.09%60.91%
USA Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.19%16.81%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.21%46.79%
Score Analysis
    Sweden Women 29.16%
    USA Women 47.7%
    Draw 23.13%
Sweden WomenDrawUSA Women
2-1 @ 7.08%
1-0 @ 5.88%
2-0 @ 3.97%
3-1 @ 3.19%
3-2 @ 2.84%
3-0 @ 1.79%
4-1 @ 1.08%
4-2 @ 0.96%
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 29.16%
1-1 @ 10.49%
2-2 @ 6.31%
0-0 @ 4.36%
3-3 @ 1.69%
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 23.13%
1-2 @ 9.35%
0-1 @ 7.77%
0-2 @ 6.93%
1-3 @ 5.56%
0-3 @ 4.12%
2-3 @ 3.75%
1-4 @ 2.48%
0-4 @ 1.84%
2-4 @ 1.67%
Other @ 4.24%
Total : 47.7%

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