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Olympic Games Men's Football | Group Stage
Jul 22, 2021 at 11.30am UK
Sapporo Dome

Argentina U23s
0 - 2
Australia U23s


Ortega (45+1'), Gaich (63'), Medina (67'), Ponce (85')
Ortega (45+3')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Wales (14'), Tilio (80')
Duke (32'), McGree (45+3'), Atkinson (48'), Metcalfe (50'), Genreau (56'), Souttar (86'), Watts (90+1')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentina Under-23s win with a probability of 46.47%. A win for Australia Under-23s had a probability of 30.42% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an Argentina Under-23s win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.42%) and 2-0 (6.59%). The likeliest Australia Under-23s win was 1-2 (7.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.38%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.

Result
Argentina Under-23sDrawAustralia Under-23s
46.47%23.1%30.42%
Both teams to score 62.56%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.49%38.51%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.19%60.81%
Argentina Under-23s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.06%16.94%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.99%47.01%
Australia Under-23s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.32%24.67%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.79%59.2%
Score Analysis
    Argentina Under-23s 46.47%
    Australia Under-23s 30.42%
    Draw 23.1%
Argentina Under-23sDrawAustralia Under-23s
2-1 @ 9.22%
1-0 @ 7.42%
2-0 @ 6.59%
3-1 @ 5.46%
3-0 @ 3.9%
3-2 @ 3.82%
4-1 @ 2.42%
4-0 @ 1.73%
4-2 @ 1.7%
Other @ 4.22%
Total : 46.47%
1-1 @ 10.38%
2-2 @ 6.45%
0-0 @ 4.18%
3-3 @ 1.78%
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 23.1%
1-2 @ 7.27%
0-1 @ 5.85%
0-2 @ 4.09%
1-3 @ 3.39%
2-3 @ 3.01%
0-3 @ 1.91%
1-4 @ 1.19%
2-4 @ 1.05%
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 30.42%

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