Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentina Under-23s win with a probability of 46.47%. A win for Australia Under-23s had a probability of 30.42% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Argentina Under-23s win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.42%) and 2-0 (6.59%). The likeliest Australia Under-23s win was 1-2 (7.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.38%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.
