Olympic Games Men's Football | Group Stage
Jul 30, 2024 at 2pm UK
Parc des Princes
Leonardo Nunez Mata (51' pen.)
de Lucas (54')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Uzbekistan Under-23s win with a probability of 88.55%. A draw had a probability of 8.3% and a win for Dominican Republic Under-23s had a probability of 3.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Uzbekistan Under-23s win was 0-3 with a probability of 13.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.3%) and 0-4 (10.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.93%), while for a Dominican Republic Under-23s win it was 1-0 (1.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result |
| Dominican Republic Under-23s | Draw | Uzbekistan Under-23s |
3.18% ( 0.26) | 8.27% ( 0.37) | 88.55% ( -0.63) |
| Both teams to score 38.74% ( 1.21) |
| 72.25% ( -0.21) | 27.75% ( 0.21) |
| 51.57% ( -0.27) | 48.43% ( 0.27) |
| Dominican Republic Under-23s Goals |
| 40.33% ( 1.31) | 59.67% ( -1.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 9.52% ( 0.66) | 90.48% ( -0.66) |
| Uzbekistan Under-23s Goals |
| 96.05% ( -0.13) | 3.95% ( 0.13) |
