SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Uzbekistan Under-23s win with a probability of 93.44%. A draw had a probability of 5.5% and a win for Spain Under-23s had a probability of 1.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Uzbekistan Under-23s win was 3-0 with a probability of 17.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (15.33%) and 4-0 (14.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (2.71%), while for a Spain Under-23s win it was 0-1 (0.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Spain Under-23s in this match.
| Result | ||
| Uzbekistan Under-23s | Draw | Spain Under-23s |
93.44% ( 0.39) | 5.46% ( -0.63) | 1.1% ( 0.23) |
| Both teams to score 21% ( 6.75) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 69.85% ( 6.87) | 30.15% ( -6.87) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 48.62% ( 7.83) | 51.37% ( -7.83) |
| Uzbekistan Under-23s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 96.53% ( 1.11) | 3.47% ( -1.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 84.87% ( 3.55) | 15.13% ( -3.55) |
| Spain Under-23s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 21.76% ( 6.82) | 78.24% ( -6.82) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 2.56% ( 1.39) | 97.44% ( -1.38) |
| Score Analysis |
| Uzbekistan Under-23s | Draw | Spain Under-23s |
| 3-0 @ 17.17% ( -1.86) 2-0 @ 15.33% ( -3.17)4-0 @ 14.43% ( -0.25)5-0 @ 9.71% ( 0.65)1-0 @ 9.12% ( -2.87)6-0 @ 5.44% ( 0.78)3-1 @ 4.22% ( 1.14)2-1 @ 3.76% ( 0.77)4-1 @ 3.54% ( 1.17)7-0 @ 2.61% ( 0.56)5-1 @ 2.38% ( 0.92)6-1 @ 1.33% ( 0.58)8-0 @ 1.1% ( 0.31)Other @ 3.29% Total : 93.43% | 0-0 @ 2.71% ( -1.18) 1-1 @ 2.24% ( 0.3)Other @ 0.51% Total : 5.46% | Other @ 1.1% Total : 1.1% |
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