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Olympic Games Men's Football | Group Stage
Jul 24, 2024 at 8pm UK
Stade Velodrome

France U23s
3 - 0
USA U23s

Lacazette (61'), Olise (69'), Bade (85')
Sildillia (17')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Paredes (37')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: France U23s 0-4 Japan U23s
Wednesday, July 28 at 12.30pm in Olympic Games Men's Football
Last Game: Brazil U23s 1-0 USA U23s
Thursday, November 14 at 5.15pm in International Friendlies

We said: France Under-23s 2-0 USA Under-23s

A France and USA one-two may very well come to fruition in Group A further down the line, but there should only be one clear winner in Wednesday's opening scrap. While Henry is blessed with clinical and well-versed attackers, Les Bleus possess highly-rated young stars in all thirds of the field and should live up to the pre-tournament hype in Marseille. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a France Under-23s win with a probability of 71.12%. A draw had a probability of 17.5% and a win for USA Under-23s had a probability of 11.34%.

The most likely scoreline for a France Under-23s win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.49%) and 2-1 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.32%), while for a USA Under-23s win it was 0-1 (3.63%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that France Under-23s would win this match.

Result
France Under-23sDrawUSA Under-23s
71.12% (0.066999999999993 0.07) 17.53% (-0.098000000000003 -0.1) 11.34% (0.029 0.03)
Both teams to score 49.21% (0.465 0.46)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.52% (0.555 0.56)40.48% (-0.557 -0.56)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.14% (0.568 0.57)62.85% (-0.571 -0.57)
France Under-23s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.87% (0.164 0.16)10.12% (-0.166 -0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.69% (0.375 0.38)33.31% (-0.378 -0.38)
USA Under-23s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.75% (0.419 0.42)45.24% (-0.421 -0.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.87% (0.331 0.33)81.12% (-0.33500000000001 -0.34)
Score Analysis
    France Under-23s 71.11%
    USA Under-23s 11.35%
    Draw 17.53%
France Under-23sDrawUSA Under-23s
2-0 @ 12.01% (-0.13 -0.13)
1-0 @ 10.49% (-0.19 -0.19)
2-1 @ 9.53% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-0 @ 9.17% (-0.038 -0.04)
3-1 @ 7.27% (0.055 0.05)
4-0 @ 5.25% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
4-1 @ 4.17% (0.061 0.06)
3-2 @ 2.88% (0.055 0.05)
5-0 @ 2.41% (0.024 0.02)
5-1 @ 1.91% (0.041 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.65% (0.043 0.04)
6-0 @ 0.92% (0.015 0.02)
Other @ 3.46%
Total : 71.11%
1-1 @ 8.32% (-0.055 -0.05)
0-0 @ 4.58% (-0.118 -0.12)
2-2 @ 3.78% (0.046 0.05)
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 17.53%
0-1 @ 3.63% (-0.051 -0.05)
1-2 @ 3.3% (0.016 0.02)
0-2 @ 1.44% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 1% (0.024 0.02)
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 11.35%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: France U23s 0-4 Japan U23s
Wednesday, July 28 at 12.30pm in Olympic Games Men's Football
Last Game: France U23s 4-3 South Africa U23s
Sunday, July 25 at 9am in Olympic Games Men's Football
Last Game: Mexico U23s 4-1 France U23s
Thursday, July 22 at 9am in Olympic Games Men's Football
Last Game: Brazil U23s 1-0 USA U23s
Thursday, November 14 at 5.15pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: USA U23s 0-2 Egypt U23s
Friday, March 22 at 4pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: England U21s 1-0 USA U23s
Thursday, September 3 at 7.45pm in Under-21s Friendlies


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