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Olympic Games Men's Football | Group Stage
Jul 28, 2021 at 12.30pm UK
Nissan Stadium

France U23s
0 - 4
Japan U23s


Pembele (58'), Michelin (66')
Kolo (74')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Kubo (27'), Sakai (34'), Miyoshi (70'), Maeda (90+1')
Tomiyasu (22'), Sakai (44')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a France Under-23s win with a probability of 42.34%. A win for Japan Under-23s had a probability of 32.56% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a France Under-23s win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.94%) and 2-0 (6.91%). The likeliest Japan Under-23s win was 0-1 (7.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.

Result
France Under-23sDrawJapan Under-23s
42.34%25.1%32.56%
Both teams to score 56.51%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.11%46.9%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.85%69.15%
France Under-23s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.89%22.11%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.53%55.48%
Japan Under-23s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.55%27.45%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.07%62.93%
Score Analysis
    France Under-23s 42.34%
    Japan Under-23s 32.56%
    Draw 25.1%
France Under-23sDrawJapan Under-23s
1-0 @ 9.16%
2-1 @ 8.94%
2-0 @ 6.91%
3-1 @ 4.5%
3-0 @ 3.48%
3-2 @ 2.91%
4-1 @ 1.7%
4-0 @ 1.31%
4-2 @ 1.1%
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 42.34%
1-1 @ 11.84%
0-0 @ 6.07%
2-2 @ 5.78%
3-3 @ 1.25%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25.1%
0-1 @ 7.85%
1-2 @ 7.66%
0-2 @ 5.07%
1-3 @ 3.3%
2-3 @ 2.49%
0-3 @ 2.19%
1-4 @ 1.07%
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 32.56%

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