SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a KS Cracovia win with a probability of 38.18%. A win for Motor Lublin had a probability of 35.52% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a KS Cracovia win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.35%) and 2-0 (6.53%). The likeliest Motor Lublin win was 0-1 (9.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 6-2 was predicted with a 0% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that KS Cracovia would win this match.
| Result | ||
| KS Cracovia | Draw | Motor Lublin |
38.18% ( 0.26) | 26.29% ( 0.18) | 35.52% ( -0.43) |
| Both teams to score 53.18% ( -0.64) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.51% ( -0.8) | 51.49% ( 0.81) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.71% ( -0.7) | 73.29% ( 0.71) |
| KS Cracovia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.7% ( -0.23) | 26.3% ( 0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.57% ( -0.31) | 61.43% ( 0.31) |
| Motor Lublin Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.16% ( -0.64) | 27.84% ( 0.64) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.56% ( -0.83) | 63.44% ( 0.83) |
| Score Analysis |
| KS Cracovia | Draw | Motor Lublin |
| 1-0 @ 9.78% ( 0.25) 2-1 @ 8.35% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 6.53% ( 0.12)3-1 @ 3.72% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 2.91% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 2.38% ( -0.06)4-1 @ 1.24% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 0.97% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.31% Total : 38.18% | 1-1 @ 12.5% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 7.32% ( 0.23)2-2 @ 5.34% ( -0.09)3-3 @ 1.01% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.29% | 0-1 @ 9.36% ( 0.13) 1-2 @ 7.99% ( -0.09)0-2 @ 5.99% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 3.41% ( -0.1)0-3 @ 2.55% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 2.28% ( -0.08)1-4 @ 1.09% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.86% Total : 35.52% |
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