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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Motor Lublin win with a probability of 40.92%. A win for Jagiellonia Bialystok has a probability of 34.39% and a draw has a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Motor Lublin win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.36%) and 2-0 (6.38%). The likeliest Jagiellonia Bialystok win is 1-2 (7.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.52%).
| Result | ||
| Motor Lublin | Draw | Jagiellonia Bialystok |
40.92% ( 11.38) | 24.69% ( -0.16) | 34.39% ( -11.21) |
| Both teams to score 58.52% ( 2.61) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.47% ( 2.51) | 44.53% ( -2.51) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.11% ( 2.39) | 66.9% ( -2.39) |
| Motor Lublin Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.23% ( 7.75) | 21.77% ( -7.75) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.04% ( 10.57) | 54.96% ( -10.57) |
| Jagiellonia Bialystok Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.8% ( -4.52) | 25.2% ( 4.52) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.07% ( -6.66) | 59.94% ( 6.66) |
| Score Analysis |
| Motor Lublin | Draw | Jagiellonia Bialystok |
| 2-1 @ 8.79% ( 1.63) 1-0 @ 8.36% ( 0.92)2-0 @ 6.38% ( 1.83)3-1 @ 4.47% ( 1.55)3-0 @ 3.24% ( 1.39)3-2 @ 3.08% ( 0.78)4-1 @ 1.7% ( 0.81)4-0 @ 1.24% ( 0.67)4-2 @ 1.17% ( 0.47)Other @ 2.5% Total : 40.92% | 1-1 @ 11.52% ( -0.21) 2-2 @ 6.06% ( 0.41)0-0 @ 5.49% ( -0.62)3-3 @ 1.41% ( 0.21)Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.68% | 1-2 @ 7.95% ( -1.31) 0-1 @ 7.56% ( -2.06)0-2 @ 5.21% ( -2.37)1-3 @ 3.65% ( -1.21)2-3 @ 2.78% ( -0.18)0-3 @ 2.39% ( -1.59)1-4 @ 1.26% ( -0.66)2-4 @ 0.96% ( -0.21)Other @ 2.63% Total : 34.39% |
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