SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Legia Warsaw win with a probability of 47.38%. A win for Piast Gliwice had a probability of 26.88% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Legia Warsaw win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.25%) and 2-0 (8.63%). The likeliest Piast Gliwice win was 0-1 (8.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Legia Warsaw would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Legia Warsaw | Draw | Piast Gliwice |
47.38% ( -0.84) | 25.73% ( 0.29) | 26.88% ( 0.55) |
| Both teams to score 51.25% ( -0.45) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.73% ( -0.8) | 52.27% ( 0.8) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.03% ( -0.69) | 73.97% ( 0.69) |
| Legia Warsaw Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.94% ( -0.7) | 22.06% ( 0.7) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.6% ( -1.07) | 55.4% ( 1.07) |
| Piast Gliwice Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.75% ( 0.02) | 34.25% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.05% ( 0.02) | 70.95% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Legia Warsaw | Draw | Piast Gliwice |
| 1-0 @ 11.41% ( 0.12) 2-1 @ 9.25% ( -0.09)2-0 @ 8.63% ( -0.09)3-1 @ 4.66% ( -0.15)3-0 @ 4.35% ( -0.14)3-2 @ 2.5% ( -0.08)4-1 @ 1.76% ( -0.09)4-0 @ 1.64% ( -0.09)4-2 @ 0.94% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.24% Total : 47.38% | 1-1 @ 12.23% ( 0.13) 0-0 @ 7.55% ( 0.24)2-2 @ 4.96% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.99% Total : 25.73% | 0-1 @ 8.1% ( 0.26) 1-2 @ 6.56% ( 0.08)0-2 @ 4.34% ( 0.14)1-3 @ 2.34% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 1.77% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.55% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.23% Total : 26.88% |
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