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Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 11
Oct 6, 2024 at 4.30pm UK
Stadion Miejski im. Floriana Krygiera

Szczecin
1 - 0
Piast Gliwice

Koulouris (90+7')
Bichakhchyan (58'), Wahlqvist (59'), Borges (61'), Kurzawa (90+3')
Kolendowicz (40')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Huk (39')
Huk (90+5')
Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Pogon Szczecin and Piast Gliwice.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Katowice 3-1 Szczecin
Friday, September 27 at 5pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Piast Gliwice 0-1 Jagiellonia
Sunday, September 29 at 4.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pogon Szczecin win with a probability of 44.49%. A win for Piast Gliwice had a probability of 30.85% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pogon Szczecin win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.08%) and 2-0 (7.18%). The likeliest Piast Gliwice win was 1-2 (7.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pogon Szczecin would win this match.

Result
Pogon SzczecinDrawPiast Gliwice
44.49% (0.097999999999999 0.1) 24.67% (0.00099999999999767 0) 30.85% (-0.093 -0.09)
Both teams to score 57.25% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.4% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)45.61% (0.046999999999997 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.07% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)67.93% (0.045000000000002 0.05)
Pogon Szczecin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.42% (0.028000000000006 0.03)20.58% (-0.023 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.88% (0.042000000000002 0.04)53.12% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
Piast Gliwice Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.09% (-0.080000000000013 -0.08)27.91% (0.086000000000002 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.47% (-0.106 -0.11)63.53% (0.111 0.11)
Score Analysis
    Pogon Szczecin 44.49%
    Piast Gliwice 30.85%
    Draw 24.66%
Pogon SzczecinDrawPiast Gliwice
2-1 @ 9.16% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
1-0 @ 9.08% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
2-0 @ 7.18% (0.025 0.03)
3-1 @ 4.83% (0.008 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.78% (0.016 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.08% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-1 @ 1.91% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.5% (0.008 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.22%
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 44.49%
1-1 @ 11.58%
2-2 @ 5.84% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.75% (0.011 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.31% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.66%
1-2 @ 7.39% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-1 @ 7.33% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 4.68% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.15% (-0.015 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.49% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.99% (-0.01 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 30.85%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Katowice 3-1 Szczecin
Friday, September 27 at 5pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Szczecin 1-0 Legia
Friday, September 20 at 7.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Cracovia 2-1 Szczecin
Saturday, September 14 at 4.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Szczecin 5-3 Slask Wroclaw
Sunday, September 1 at 4.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Lech Poznan 2-0 Szczecin
Sunday, August 25 at 4.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Szczecin 2-0 Widzew Lodz
Saturday, August 17 at 7.15pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Piast Gliwice 0-1 Jagiellonia
Sunday, September 29 at 4.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Widzew Lodz 1-0 Piast Gliwice
Saturday, September 21 at 4.30pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Piast Gliwice 1-1 Puszcza Niepolomice
Sunday, September 15 at 11.15am in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Rakow 0-1 Piast Gliwice
Friday, August 30 at 5pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Piast Gliwice 1-0 Zaglebie Lubin
Saturday, August 24 at 7.15pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Last Game: Stal Mielec 2-0 Piast Gliwice
Monday, August 19 at 6pm in Polish Ekstraklasa


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