SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pogon Szczecin win with a probability of 53.22%. A win for Widzew Lodz had a probability of 23.54% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pogon Szczecin win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.78%) and 2-0 (8.8%). The likeliest Widzew Lodz win was 0-1 (6.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pogon Szczecin would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Pogon Szczecin | Draw | Widzew Lodz |
53.22% ( -0.5) | 23.24% ( 0.26) | 23.54% ( 0.24) |
| Both teams to score 55.88% ( -0.57) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.4% ( -0.9) | 44.59% ( 0.9) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.04% ( -0.87) | 66.96% ( 0.87) |
| Pogon Szczecin Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.28% ( -0.5) | 16.72% ( 0.5) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.37% ( -0.91) | 46.63% ( 0.91) |
| Widzew Lodz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.1% ( -0.28) | 32.9% ( 0.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.52% ( -0.31) | 69.48% ( 0.31) |
| Score Analysis |
| Pogon Szczecin | Draw | Widzew Lodz |
| 1-0 @ 9.84% ( 0.22) 2-1 @ 9.78% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 8.8% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 5.83% ( -0.11)3-0 @ 5.25% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 3.24% ( -0.09)4-1 @ 2.61% ( -0.1)4-0 @ 2.35% ( -0.07)4-2 @ 1.45% ( -0.07)5-1 @ 0.93% ( -0.05)Other @ 3.15% Total : 53.22% | 1-1 @ 10.93% ( 0.15) 0-0 @ 5.5% ( 0.21)2-2 @ 5.44% ( -0.05)3-3 @ 1.2% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.16% Total : 23.23% | 0-1 @ 6.12% ( 0.19) 1-2 @ 6.08% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 3.4% ( 0.08)1-3 @ 2.25% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.02% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 1.26% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.42% Total : 23.54% |
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