Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 32
May 12, 2024 at 11.30am UK
Stadion Cracovii im. Jozefa Pilsudskiego
Walski (51')
Wojcinowicz (60'), Tomalski (65'), Siemaszko (73'), Zapolnik (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Grobelny (73')
Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Puszcza Niepolomice and Warta Poznan.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Puszcza Niepolomice win with a probability of 40.53%. A win for Warta Poznan had a probability of 32.49% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Puszcza Niepolomice win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.5%) and 2-0 (7.33%). The likeliest Warta Poznan win was 0-1 (9.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Puszcza Niepolomice in this match.
| Result |
| Puszcza Niepolomice | Draw | Warta Poznan |
40.53% ( 0.36) | 26.97% ( 0.33) | 32.49% ( -0.69) |
| Both teams to score 50.42% ( -1.21) |
| 45.26% ( -1.46) | 54.74% ( 1.46) |
| 23.95% ( -1.22) | 76.05% ( 1.22) |
| Puszcza Niepolomice Goals |
| 73.48% ( -0.48) | 26.52% ( 0.48) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 38.28% ( -0.64) | 61.72% ( 0.64) |
| 68.61% ( -1.19) | 31.38% ( 1.2) |
