SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Under-21s win with a probability of 44.16%. A win for Chelsea Under-21s had a probability of 32.07% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.81%) and 2-0 (6.52%). The likeliest Chelsea Under-21s win was 1-2 (7.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.87%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Arsenal Under-21s would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Arsenal Under-21s | Draw | Chelsea Under-21s |
44.16% ( -0.85) | 23.76% ( 0.69) | 32.07% ( 0.15) |
| Both teams to score 61.02% ( -2.47) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.09% ( -3.27) | 40.9% ( 3.27) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.7% ( -3.42) | 63.29% ( 3.42) |
| Arsenal Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.19% ( -1.64) | 18.8% ( 1.65) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.77% ( -2.82) | 50.23% ( 2.82) |
| Chelsea Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.15% ( -1.49) | 24.84% ( 1.49) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.56% ( -2.12) | 59.44% ( 2.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Arsenal Under-21s | Draw | Chelsea Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 9.08% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 7.81% ( 0.74)2-0 @ 6.52% ( 0.3)3-1 @ 5.06% ( -0.26)3-0 @ 3.63% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 3.52% ( -0.34)4-1 @ 2.11% ( -0.23)4-0 @ 1.52% ( -0.09)4-2 @ 1.47% ( -0.23)Other @ 3.43% Total : 44.16% | 1-1 @ 10.87% ( 0.6) 2-2 @ 6.33% ( -0.26)0-0 @ 4.67% ( 0.66)3-3 @ 1.64% ( -0.24)Other @ 0.26% Total : 23.76% | 1-2 @ 7.57% ( 0.1) 0-1 @ 6.51% ( 0.68)0-2 @ 4.53% ( 0.29)1-3 @ 3.51% ( -0.11)2-3 @ 2.94% ( -0.26)0-3 @ 2.1% ( 0.05)1-4 @ 1.22% ( -0.09)2-4 @ 1.02% ( -0.14)Other @ 2.66% Total : 32.07% |
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