SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Under-21s win with a probability of 61.87%. A win for Manchester United Under-21s had a probability of 19.2% and a draw had a probability of 18.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.47%) and 3-1 (7.39%). The likeliest Manchester United Under-21s win was 1-2 (5.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.97%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Arsenal Under-21s would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Arsenal Under-21s | Draw | Manchester United Under-21s |
61.87% ( -0.5) | 18.93% ( 0.09) | 19.2% ( 0.42) |
| Both teams to score 64.83% ( 0.47) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 70.04% ( 0.26) | 29.96% ( -0.26) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 48.86% ( 0.31) | 51.14% ( -0.31) |
| Arsenal Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.55% ( -0.04) | 9.45% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 68.26% ( -0.1) | 31.74% ( 0.11) |
| Manchester United Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.59% ( 0.55) | 28.41% ( -0.55) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.84% ( 0.69) | 64.16% ( -0.68) |
| Score Analysis |
| Arsenal Under-21s | Draw | Manchester United Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 9.4% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 7.47% ( -0.14)3-1 @ 7.39% ( -0.04)1-0 @ 6.33% ( -0.1)3-0 @ 5.87% ( -0.12)3-2 @ 4.65% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 4.36% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 3.47% ( -0.08)4-2 @ 2.75% ( 0.02)5-1 @ 2.06% ( -0.02)5-0 @ 1.64% ( -0.04)5-2 @ 1.3% ( 0.01)4-3 @ 1.15% ( 0.03)Other @ 4.04% Total : 61.87% | 1-1 @ 7.97% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.92% ( 0.07)0-0 @ 2.68% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 1.95% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.41% Total : 18.93% | 1-2 @ 5.02% ( 0.07) 0-1 @ 3.38% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.48% ( 0.07)0-2 @ 2.13% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 2.1% ( 0.06)Other @ 4.09% Total : 19.2% |
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