Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea Under-23s win with a probability of 54.09%. A win for Arsenal Under-23s had a probability of 24.42% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea Under-23s win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.37%) and 1-0 (7.3%). The likeliest Arsenal Under-23s win was 1-2 (6.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-6 was predicted with a 0% likelihood.