Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City Under-23s win with a probability of 42%. A win for Chelsea Under-23s had a probability of 35.1% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City Under-23s win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.33%) and 0-2 (5.5%). The likeliest Chelsea Under-23s win was 2-1 (7.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.97%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester City Under-23s would win this match.
