Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United Under-23s win with a probability of 58.08%. A win for Chelsea Under-23s had a probability of 21.92% and a draw had a probability of 20%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United Under-23s win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.16%) and 3-1 (7.02%). The likeliest Chelsea Under-23s win was 1-2 (5.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.