Derby U23s
2 - 3
Leeds U23s

Aghatise (9'), Dixon (23')
Dixon (14'), Cashin (80')
Cashin (90+2')

FT(HT: 2-2)

Summerville (18'), Greenwood (33'), Gelhardt (72')
Greenwood (86')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Premier League 2 - Div 1 clash between Derby County Under-23s and Leeds United Under-23s.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United Under-23s win with a probability of 40.85%. A win for Derby County Under-23s had a probability of 36.58% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United Under-23s win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.79%) and 0-2 (5.09%). The likeliest Derby County Under-23s win was 2-1 (7.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leeds United Under-23s would win this match.

Result
Derby County Under-23s	Draw	Leeds United Under-23s
36.58%	22.57%	40.85%

Both teams to score 66.93%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

66.26%

33.74%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

44.43%

55.57%

Derby County Under-23s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.88%

19.12%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.25%

50.74%

Leeds United Under-23s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.75%

17.24%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.44%

47.55%

Score Analysis

Derby County Under-23s 36.58%

Leeds United Under-23s 40.85%

Draw 22.57%

Derby County Under-23s	Draw	Leeds United Under-23s
2-1 @ 7.93% 1-0 @ 5.45% 2-0 @ 4.51% 3-1 @ 4.38% 3-2 @ 3.85% 3-0 @ 2.49% 4-1 @ 1.81% 4-2 @ 1.59% 4-0 @ 1.03% 4-3 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.61% Total : 36.58%	1-1 @ 9.59% 2-2 @ 6.97% 0-0 @ 3.3% 3-3 @ 2.25% Other @ 0.46% Total : 22.57%	1-2 @ 8.43% 0-1 @ 5.79% 0-2 @ 5.09% 1-3 @ 4.94% 2-3 @ 4.08% 0-3 @ 2.98% 1-4 @ 2.17% 2-4 @ 1.8% 0-4 @ 1.31% 3-4 @ 0.99% Other @ 3.27% Total : 40.85%