Everton U23s
1 - 0
Derby U23s

Whitaker (4')
Mills (77'), McAllister (88')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Grewal-Pollard (56'), Aghatise (60')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Premier League 2 - Div 1 clash between Everton Under-23s and Derby County Under-23s.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County Under-23s win with a probability of 46.26%. A win for Everton Under-23s had a probability of 30.57% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County Under-23s win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.47%) and 0-2 (6.59%). The likeliest Everton Under-23s win was 2-1 (7.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.

Result
Everton Under-23s	Draw	Derby County Under-23s
30.57%	23.17%	46.26%

Both teams to score 62.4%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.23%

38.77%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.92%

61.08%

Everton Under-23s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.28%

24.71%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.74%

59.26%

Derby County Under-23s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.88%

17.12%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.67%

47.33%

Score Analysis

Everton Under-23s 30.57%

Derby County Under-23s 46.26%

Draw 23.16%

Everton Under-23s	Draw	Derby County Under-23s
2-1 @ 7.3% 1-0 @ 5.91% 2-0 @ 4.13% 3-1 @ 3.4% 3-2 @ 3% 3-0 @ 1.93% 4-1 @ 1.19% 4-2 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.66% Total : 30.57%	1-1 @ 10.43% 2-2 @ 6.44% 0-0 @ 4.23% 3-3 @ 1.77% Other @ 0.3% Total : 23.16%	1-2 @ 9.21% 0-1 @ 7.47% 0-2 @ 6.59% 1-3 @ 5.42% 0-3 @ 3.88% 2-3 @ 3.79% 1-4 @ 2.39% 0-4 @ 1.71% 2-4 @ 1.67% Other @ 4.13% Total : 46.26%