Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United Under-23s win with a probability of 43.72%. A win for Manchester United Under-23s had a probability of 33.37% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United Under-23s win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.61%) and 0-2 (5.83%). The likeliest Manchester United Under-23s win was 2-1 (7.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.04%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood.