SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Everton Under-21s win with a probability of 42.12%. A win for Leicester City Under-21s had a probability of 35.54% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Everton Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.67%) and 0-2 (5.14%). The likeliest Leicester City Under-21s win was 2-1 (7.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Everton Under-21s would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Leicester City Under-21s | Draw | Everton Under-21s |
35.54% ( -0.01) | 22.34% ( 0.02) | 42.12% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 67.64% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.25% ( -0.07) | 32.74% ( 0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 45.57% ( -0.08) | 54.43% ( 0.08) |
| Leicester City Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.84% ( -0.04) | 19.16% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.18% ( -0.06) | 50.82% ( 0.07) |
| Everton Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.67% ( -0.03) | 16.33% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.08% ( -0.05) | 45.92% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Leicester City Under-21s | Draw | Everton Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 7.74% ( 0) 1-0 @ 5.17% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 4.27% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 4.26% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.86% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.35% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.76% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.6% ( -0)4-0 @ 0.97% ( -0)4-3 @ 0.96% ( -0)Other @ 2.59% Total : 35.54% | 1-1 @ 9.37% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 7.01% ( -0)0-0 @ 3.13% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 2.33% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.49% Total : 22.34% | 1-2 @ 8.49% ( 0) 0-1 @ 5.67% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 5.14% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 5.13% ( -0)2-3 @ 4.24% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 3.1% ( 0)1-4 @ 2.32% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.92% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.41% 3-4 @ 1.06% ( -0)Other @ 3.65% Total : 42.12% |
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