SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City Under-21s win with a probability of 52.09%. A win for Everton Under-21s had a probability of 27.06% and a draw had a probability of 20.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.4%) and 2-0 (6.02%). The likeliest Everton Under-21s win was 1-2 (6.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.48%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester City Under-21s would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Manchester City Under-21s | Draw | Everton Under-21s |
52.09% ( -0.19) | 20.85% ( 0.05) | 27.06% ( 0.14) |
| Both teams to score 68.43% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 70.22% ( -0.14) | 29.77% ( 0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 49.08% ( -0.16) | 50.92% ( 0.16) |
| Manchester City Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.1% ( -0.1) | 11.9% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 62.77% ( -0.22) | 37.23% ( 0.21) |
| Everton Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.68% ( 0.02) | 22.32% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.21% ( 0.02) | 55.79% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Manchester City Under-21s | Draw | Everton Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 9.02% ( 0) 3-1 @ 6.4% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 6.02% ( -0)1-0 @ 5.65% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 4.8% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 4.27% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 3.41% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 2.56% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 2.27% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 1.45% ( -0.02)4-3 @ 1.28% ( -0.01)5-2 @ 1.09% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 0.97% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.91% Total : 52.1% | 1-1 @ 8.48% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 6.77% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 2.66% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 2.4% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.55% Total : 20.85% | 1-2 @ 6.36% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 3.98% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 3.38% ( 0)1-3 @ 3.18% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 2.99% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 1.49% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.27% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.19% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.21% Total : 27.06% |
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