SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland Under-21s win with a probability of 41.7%. A win for Wolverhampton Wanderers Under-21s had a probability of 37.11% and a draw had a probability of 21.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 7.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.16%) and 3-2 (4.78%). The likeliest Wolverhampton Wanderers Under-21s win was 1-2 (7.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.99%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sunderland Under-21s would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sunderland Under-21s | Draw | Wolverhampton Wanderers Under-21s |
41.7% ( 0.67) | 21.19% ( 0.07) | 37.11% ( -0.74) |
| Both teams to score 72.54% ( -0.37) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 73.45% ( -0.44) | 26.55% ( 0.44) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 53.08% ( -0.56) | 46.92% ( 0.56) |
| Sunderland Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.03% ( 0.06) | 13.96% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.54% ( 0.11) | 41.46% ( -0.11) |
| Wolverhampton Wanderers Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.31% ( -0.49) | 15.69% ( 0.49) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.25% ( -0.91) | 44.75% ( 0.91) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sunderland Under-21s | Draw | Wolverhampton Wanderers Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 7.86% ( 0.12) 3-1 @ 5.16% ( 0.09)3-2 @ 4.78% 1-0 @ 4.31% ( 0.13)2-0 @ 4.25% ( 0.13)3-0 @ 2.79% ( 0.09)4-1 @ 2.54% ( 0.05)4-2 @ 2.35% ( 0)4-3 @ 1.45% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.37% ( 0.05)5-1 @ 1% ( 0.02)5-2 @ 0.93% ( 0)Other @ 2.91% Total : 41.7% | 1-1 @ 7.99% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 7.28% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 2.95% ( -0.05)0-0 @ 2.19% ( 0.06)Other @ 0.78% Total : 21.19% | 1-2 @ 7.4% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 4.57% ( -0.1)2-3 @ 4.5% ( -0.09)0-1 @ 4.06% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 3.76% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 2.32% ( -0.06)1-4 @ 2.12% ( -0.08)2-4 @ 2.08% ( -0.08)3-4 @ 1.37% ( -0.05)0-4 @ 1.07% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.88% Total : 37.11% |
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