SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United Under-21s win with a probability of 42.48%. A win for Sunderland Under-21s had a probability of 35.77% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.24%) and 0-1 (5.01%). The likeliest Sunderland Under-21s win was 2-1 (7.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newcastle United Under-21s would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sunderland Under-21s | Draw | Newcastle United Under-21s |
35.77% ( 0.11) | 21.74% ( -0.02) | 42.48% ( -0.09) |
| Both teams to score 70.05% ( 0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 70.36% ( 0.13) | 29.64% ( -0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 49.24% ( 0.15) | 50.75% ( -0.15) |
| Sunderland Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.35% ( 0.11) | 17.64% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.75% ( 0.19) | 48.25% ( -0.19) |
| Newcastle United Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.06% ( 0.02) | 14.93% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.66% ( 0.03) | 43.33% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sunderland Under-21s | Draw | Newcastle United Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 7.54% ( 0) 1-0 @ 4.57% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 4.36% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 4.15% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 3.97% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.29% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.89% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.8% ( 0.02)4-3 @ 1.14% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 0.99% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.07% Total : 35.77% | 1-1 @ 8.69% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 7.17% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 2.64% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 2.63% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.62% Total : 21.74% | 1-2 @ 8.26% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 5.24% ( -0.01)0-1 @ 5.01% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 4.76% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 4.54% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 3.02% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 2.49% ( -0)2-4 @ 2.16% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.44% ( -0.01)3-4 @ 1.25% ( 0.01)1-5 @ 0.95% ( -0)Other @ 3.36% Total : 42.48% |
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