Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tottenham Hotspur Under-21s win with a probability of 54.52%. A win for Sunderland Under-21s had a probability of 26.51% and a draw had a probability of 19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tottenham Hotspur Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 7.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.54%) and 3-2 (5.65%). The likeliest Sunderland Under-21s win was 1-2 (5.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 2-2 (6.82%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tottenham Hotspur Under-21s would win this match.
