Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United Under-23s win with a probability of 39.41%. A win for Middlesbrough Under-23s had a probability of 36.8% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United Under-23s win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.05%) and 0-2 (5.6%). The likeliest Middlesbrough Under-23s win was 2-1 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.