Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa Under-23s win with a probability of 42.11%. A win for Middlesbrough Under-23s had a probability of 35.9% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa Under-23s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.26%) and 3-1 (5.17%). The likeliest Middlesbrough Under-23s win was 1-2 (7.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood.