SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough Under-23s win with a probability of 55.23%. A win for Southampton Under-23s had a probability of 23.63% and a draw had a probability of 21.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough Under-23s win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.41%) and 1-0 (7.18%). The likeliest Southampton Under-23s win was 1-2 (6.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Middlesbrough Under-23s in this match.
| Result | ||
| Middlesbrough Under-23s | Draw | Southampton Under-23s |
| 55.23% | 21.15% | 23.63% |
| Both teams to score 63.39% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.26% | 34.74% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.3% | 56.7% |
| Middlesbrough Under-23s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.34% | 12.66% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 61.17% | 38.83% |
| Southampton Under-23s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.58% | 27.42% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 37.1% | 62.9% |
| Score Analysis |
| Middlesbrough Under-23s | Draw | Southampton Under-23s |
| 2-1 @ 9.59% 2-0 @ 7.41% 1-0 @ 7.18% 3-1 @ 6.61% 3-0 @ 5.11% 3-2 @ 4.28% 4-1 @ 3.41% 4-0 @ 2.64% 4-2 @ 2.21% 5-1 @ 1.41% 5-0 @ 1.09% 4-3 @ 0.95% 5-2 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.42% Total : 55.23% | 1-1 @ 9.28% 2-2 @ 6.21% 0-0 @ 3.47% 3-3 @ 1.84% Other @ 0.34% Total : 21.15% | 1-2 @ 6.01% 0-1 @ 4.49% 0-2 @ 2.91% 2-3 @ 2.68% 1-3 @ 2.59% 0-3 @ 1.25% Other @ 3.7% Total : 23.63% |
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