Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough Under-23s win with a probability of 48.1%. A win for Aston Villa Under-23s had a probability of 29.77% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough Under-23s win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.45%) and 2-0 (6.19%). The likeliest Aston Villa Under-23s win was 1-2 (7.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.