Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City Under-23s win with a probability of 43.85%. A win for Reading Under-23s had a probability of 34.5% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City Under-23s win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.41%) and 0-1 (5.07%). The likeliest Reading Under-23s win was 2-1 (7.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.
