Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City Under-23s win with a probability of 56.29%. A win for Reading Under-23s had a probability of 22.48% and a draw had a probability of 21.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City Under-23s win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.94%) and 1-0 (7.77%). The likeliest Reading Under-23s win was 1-2 (5.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.