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Premier League | Gameweek 4
Sep 1, 2023 at 8pm UK
Kenilworth Road Stadium
WH

Luton
1 - 2
West Ham

Andersen (90+2')
Nakamba (87')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Bowen (37'), Zouma (85')
Palmieri (81')

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 49.59%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for West Ham United had a probability of 25.15%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.42%) and 2-0 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.01%), while for a West Ham United win it was 0-1 (7.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that West Ham United would win this match.

Result
Luton TownDrawWest Ham United
49.59% (0.0030000000000001 0) 25.26% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02) 25.15% (0.012 0.01)
Both teams to score 51.18% (0.064 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.37% (0.080999999999996 0.08)51.62% (-0.084000000000003 -0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.59% (0.07 0.07)73.41% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.16% (0.031999999999996 0.03)20.83% (-0.035 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.49% (0.053999999999995 0.05)53.51% (-0.058 -0.06)
West Ham United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.65% (0.054000000000002 0.05)35.34% (-0.058 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.89% (0.055999999999997 0.06)72.1% (-0.061000000000007 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Luton Town 49.58%
    West Ham United 25.15%
    Draw 25.26%
Luton TownDrawWest Ham United
1-0 @ 11.54% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
2-1 @ 9.42% (0.0040000000000013 0)
2-0 @ 9.06% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.93% (0.008 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.74%
3-2 @ 2.56% (0.008 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.93% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-0 @ 1.86% (0.002 0)
4-2 @ 1.01% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 49.58%
1-1 @ 12.01% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.36% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.9% (0.010000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 25.26%
0-1 @ 7.66% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-2 @ 6.25% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 3.98% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-3 @ 2.17% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 1.7% (0.006 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.38% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 25.15%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Luton 3-2 Gillingham
Tuesday, August 29 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Chelsea 3-0 Luton
Friday, August 25 at 8pm in Premier League
Last Game: Brighton 4-1 Luton
Saturday, August 12 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: VfL Bochum 2-1 Luton
Saturday, August 5 at 12.30pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Wolves 0-0 Luton
Wednesday, August 2 at 7.30pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Sheff Weds 1-2 Luton
Saturday, July 29 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Brighton 1-3 West Ham
Saturday, August 26 at 5.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: West Ham 3-1 Chelsea
Sunday, August 20 at 4.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Bournemouth 1-1 West Ham
Saturday, August 12 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: B. Leverkusen 4-0 West Ham
Saturday, August 5 at 12.30pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Rennes 3-1 West Ham
Saturday, July 29 at 5pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Dag & Red 2-2 West Ham
Saturday, July 22 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1


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