Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 38.65%. A win for West Ham United had a probability of 35.38% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.45%) and 0-2 (6.5%). The likeliest West Ham United win was 1-0 (9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.33%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
West Ham United | Draw | Chelsea |
35.38% ( -0.69) | 25.96% ( 0.22) | 38.65% ( 0.47) |
Both teams to score 54.28% ( -0.82) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.92% ( -1.02) | 50.08% ( 1.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.95% ( -0.92) | 72.05% ( 0.92) |
West Ham United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.75% ( -0.89) | 27.25% ( 0.89) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.32% ( -1.17) | 62.68% ( 1.18) |
Chelsea Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.61% ( -0.21) | 25.39% ( 0.21) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.8% ( -0.29) | 60.2% ( 0.29) |
Score Analysis |
West Ham United | Draw | Chelsea |
1-0 @ 9% ( 0.15) 2-1 @ 8.02% ( -0.12) 2-0 @ 5.85% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 3.47% ( -0.14) 3-0 @ 2.53% ( -0.09) 3-2 @ 2.38% ( -0.11) 4-1 @ 1.13% ( -0.08) Other @ 3.01% Total : 35.38% | 1-1 @ 12.33% ( 0.13) 0-0 @ 6.92% ( 0.28) 2-2 @ 5.49% ( -0.12) 3-3 @ 1.09% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.96% | 0-1 @ 9.48% ( 0.33) 1-2 @ 8.45% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 6.5% ( 0.19) 1-3 @ 3.86% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.97% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 2.51% ( -0.07) 1-4 @ 1.32% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.02% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.53% Total : 38.65% |
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