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Premier League | Gameweek 1
Aug 15, 2021 at 2pm UK
St James' Park
WH

Newcastle
2 - 4
West Ham

Wilson (5'), Murphy (40')
Shelvey (51')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Cresswell (18'), Benrahma (53'), Soucek (63'), Antonio (66')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Ham United win with a probability of 53.53%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Newcastle United had a probability of 21.82%.

The most likely scoreline for a West Ham United win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.1%) and 1-2 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.7%), while for a Newcastle United win it was 1-0 (7.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that West Ham United would win this match.

Result
Newcastle UnitedDrawWest Ham United
21.82%24.65%53.53%
Both teams to score 49.3%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.74%52.26%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.04%73.96%
Newcastle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.23%38.77%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.49%75.51%
West Ham United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.52%19.48%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.66%51.34%
Score Analysis
    Newcastle United 21.82%
    West Ham United 53.52%
    Draw 24.65%
Newcastle UnitedDrawWest Ham United
1-0 @ 7.16%
2-1 @ 5.55%
2-0 @ 3.39%
3-1 @ 1.75%
3-2 @ 1.43%
3-0 @ 1.07%
Other @ 1.48%
Total : 21.82%
1-1 @ 11.7%
0-0 @ 7.55%
2-2 @ 4.54%
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 24.65%
0-1 @ 12.35%
0-2 @ 10.1%
1-2 @ 9.57%
0-3 @ 5.51%
1-3 @ 5.22%
2-3 @ 2.47%
0-4 @ 2.25%
1-4 @ 2.14%
2-4 @ 1.01%
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 53.52%

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