Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Ham United win with a probability of 53.53%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Newcastle United had a probability of 21.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a West Ham United win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.1%) and 1-2 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.7%), while for a Newcastle United win it was 1-0 (7.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that West Ham United would win this match.
