Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 70.78%. A draw had a probability of 18.1% and a win for Desportivo das Aves had a probability of 11.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.77%) and 1-2 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.63%), while for a Desportivo das Aves win it was 1-0 (3.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.