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Primeira Liga | Gameweek 26
Jun 11, 2020 at 9.15pm UK
Estádio João Cardoso
DD

Tondela
2 - 0
Aves

Jeronimo (11', 57')
Pedro (17'), Pepelu (32'), Xavier (48')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Mangas (36')
Mangas (46')
Coverage of the Primeira Liga clash between Tondela and Desportivo das Aves.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tondela win with a probability of 47.38%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Desportivo das Aves had a probability of 25.58%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tondela win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.32%) and 2-1 (8.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.66%), while for a Desportivo das Aves win it was 0-1 (9.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tondela would win this match.

Result
TondelaDrawDesportivo das Aves
47.38%27.04%25.58%
Both teams to score 46.45%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.01%57.99%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.32%78.68%
Tondela Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.48%24.52%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.02%58.99%
Desportivo das Aves Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.54%38.46%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.79%75.21%
Score Analysis
    Tondela 47.37%
    Desportivo das Aves 25.58%
    Draw 27.03%
TondelaDrawDesportivo das Aves
1-0 @ 13.25%
2-0 @ 9.32%
2-1 @ 8.9%
3-0 @ 4.37%
3-1 @ 4.17%
3-2 @ 1.99%
4-0 @ 1.53%
4-1 @ 1.47%
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 47.37%
1-1 @ 12.66%
0-0 @ 9.43%
2-2 @ 4.25%
Other @ 0.69%
Total : 27.03%
0-1 @ 9.01%
1-2 @ 6.05%
0-2 @ 4.31%
1-3 @ 1.93%
0-3 @ 1.37%
2-3 @ 1.36%
Other @ 1.56%
Total : 25.58%


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