Coverage of the Primeira Liga clash between SC Farense and Nacional.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 40.02%. A win for SC Farense had a probability of 33.76% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.58%) and 0-2 (6.91%). The likeliest SC Farense win was 1-0 (9.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Nacional in this match.