Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 51.14%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Boavista had a probability of 22.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.41%) and 2-1 (9.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.33%), while for a Boavista win it was 0-1 (8.43%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.