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Primeira Liga | Gameweek 28
Jun 23, 2020 at 7pm UK
Estadio do Bonfim
RA

Setubal
1 - 2
Rio Ave

Guedes (25')
Makaridze (26'), Carlinhos (51')
Zequinha (54')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Taremi (27' pen.), Gelson (80')
Coverage of the Primeira Liga clash between Vitoria de Setubal and Rio Ave.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rio Ave win with a probability of 50.46%. A draw had a probability of 27.1% and a win for Vitoria de Setubal had a probability of 22.39%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rio Ave win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.45%) and 1-2 (8.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.46%), while for a Vitoria de Setubal win it was 1-0 (8.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rio Ave would win this match.

Result
Vitoria de SetubalDrawRio Ave
22.39%27.14%50.46%
Both teams to score 43.22%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.41%60.59%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.31%80.69%
Vitoria de Setubal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.04%42.96%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.74%79.26%
Rio Ave Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.77%24.22%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.43%58.57%
Score Analysis
    Vitoria de Setubal 22.39%
    Rio Ave 50.45%
    Draw 27.13%
Vitoria de SetubalDrawRio Ave
1-0 @ 8.79%
2-1 @ 5.27%
2-0 @ 3.72%
3-1 @ 1.48%
3-2 @ 1.05%
3-0 @ 1.05%
Other @ 1.04%
Total : 22.39%
1-1 @ 12.46%
0-0 @ 10.4%
2-2 @ 3.73%
Other @ 0.54%
Total : 27.13%
0-1 @ 14.75%
0-2 @ 10.45%
1-2 @ 8.84%
0-3 @ 4.94%
1-3 @ 4.18%
2-3 @ 1.77%
0-4 @ 1.75%
1-4 @ 1.48%
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 50.45%


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